Technical Analysis Shows Aug/Sept Market Top Pattern Should Form

Sourced from: https://www.countingpips.com/2019/06/technical-analysis-shows-aug-sept-market-top-pattern-should-form/

With our proprietary price modeling tools and systems, believe the important price peak in the usa stock market will now occur between August 26 and September 20 (see the chart below).  Quite a few crucial variables are lining up to extend this topping routine into August/September along with also the important component is the creation of this Pennant/Flag formation and also the simple fact that this price pattern must complete prior to a breakout/breakdown movement is possible.

Please review the next research articles by our staff…
Chris Vermeulen

We have been pouring on the information and now consider our previous forecast of a July/August 2019 marketplace top ought to be revised to an Aug/Sept 2019 expected market top layout.  The subsequent study posts we reprinted lately indicated a top may form in July/Aug 2019 and think this critical top creation would form at new all-time highs.  We believe this is possible regarding the price predictions, nevertheless we think the cost top will now shape near the end of August or early September after an extended Pennant/Flag formation is finished.


In fact, There Are Many super cycles beginning to occur as we venture to 2020 and beyond that Brad Matheny and layout in our new publication: 2020 Cycles — The Greatest Opportunity Your Lifetime

That is one scenario of how the stock exchange may perform, we’ve got a few others we are following with subscribers on our Wealth Building Newsletter with considerably more detail. Daily we discuss a pre-market movie and show you where all the major markets have been headed for the day, week and month ahead. The study is done on the futures market but we concentrate on trading ETFs for the indexes and commodities.

An upside cost bias will continue during the formation of this Pennant/Flag creation leading to a moderate price breakout by which the S&P will temporarily break at the $3000 cost amount, then stall — forming the very best pattern/rotation we’re expecting.

As we move closer to these vital dates, we will keep you informed of our expectations and that which new information our predictive modeling methods are suggesting.  In the meantime, get ready to play a few medium price swings.  Do not get caught on the short side of this movement just yet.  We’ve got no actual confirmation that a large downside move will happen during the next 60+ days and these early shorts are going to feel a great deal of pressure over the next 45 to 60+ times if the market moves higher.
On June 5, 2019we posted this VIX graph in the content listed above.  The US stock market will rotate greater within an upward price bias over the next 45+ times.  This will project the Pennant/Flag formation and set up the crucial top pattern that we are anticipating in late August or early September.  When you take a look at this chart of the VIX, below, think about this the upside price move from the VIX may be postponed by about 10 to 15 days according to our newest investigation.  We believe the VIX expansion will probably happen as we are suggesting, we are altering the deadline of the predictions to support our latest research.

A continued Capital Shift will drive costs higher within the next 45 to 60+ times in which foreign funds will continue to chase the powerful US Dollar and the potency of the US stock market.  The true crucial price move, where our analysis will become more significant, happens after September 1, 2019 — where the Pennant Apex and a crucial inflection point are set.

Fed to Tank Dollar And Will Not Save the Stock Market

Sourced from: https://www.countingpips.com/2019/06/fed-to-tank-dollar-and-will-not-save-the-stock-market/

The above represents the opinion and analysis of Mr Maund, based on data available to him, at the time of writing. Mr. Maund’s remarks are his very own, and aren’t a recommendation or an offer to purchase or sell securities. Though a capable and skilled stock market analyst, Clive Maund isn’t a Registered Securities Advisor. Therefore Mr. Maund’s opinions on the marketplace and stocks can only be construed as a solicitation to purchase and sell securities when they’re subject to the previous approval and endorsement of a Registered Securities Advisor operating in compliance with the appropriate regulations in your area of jurisdiction.

Therefore, a key purpose for us to appreciate here is that a new rate reduction system from the Fed will get the dollar to drop difficult –and it is currently under threat from the move to de-dollarize from countries like China and Russia, that have been the subject of U.S. bullying and risks for a long time now. The Fed can’t have its cake and eat it too–whether it wants to go ahead and drop rates to rescue the stock market, fine, and the dollar will tank, and the stock exchange too into the bargain because lots of foreign investors facing money losses will pull their funds out of the usa.

Charts furnished by the writer.

Clive Maund has been president of www.clivemaund.com, a prosperous resource business site, since its inception in 2003.

Technical analyst Clive Maund discusses moves from the Fed and what they might mean for the U.S. buck and precious metals.

Instead what they are most likely to achieve by cutting rates is to cause a severe decline in the dollar, that until now has basked in its “king of hell” status, since although prices at the U.S. were historically low, they had been greater than at other places like Europe and Japan, and so money was attracted into the buck and U.S. investments. Pretty soon we’re likely to discover how attractive U.S. investments would be to foreigners once the dollar tanks.
It’s measure of just how delicate and precarious the situation is that the minute the markets seemed like they were on the brink of crashing again, which of course they were, the Fed moved to face it off by stating that they would start cutting rates. How things change as it was only late last year they were speaking about increasing rates three or four times annually. Basically what has happened is they have lost control they don’t control the markets, the markets command them. The reason that they gingerly elevated rates into last year was that they were trying to develop some “wiggle room” ahead of the next crisis–well, the next catastrophe is on our own doorstep, and they are already using up their now quite limited ammo.

That is why gold is strong now and the reason it is soon going to split abouve $1400 into a significant new bull market, and this is the reason we’ll be concentrating increasingly more on the very undervalued precious metals industry going forward.
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There’s a big difference between now and 2008, if they were able to drop rates from 5 percent to zero, since today they could simply drop them from approximately 2%. This discuss cutting prices and the true cutting of prices going forward is too little too late–the effects of the earlier high rates against a background of enormous debts and also of the transaction warfare are working their way through the machine, are a harmful juggernaut which won’t be halted by tinkering around with already very low interest prices. Thus the relief rally yesterday that is continuing this morning is expected to peter out and undo into the disadvantage before much longer.


By The Gold Report

US Increases Trade Tariffs Against China – Markets, Gold, and Silver

Sourced from: https://www.countingpips.com/2019/05/us-increases-trade-tariffs-against-china-markets-gold-and-silver/

As the US/China commerce bargain breaks down the US increased tariffs on 200B of Chinese products.  China has pledged to retaliate to the transfer.  The past week has witnessed the markets shocked by two items: Iran sanctions and also US/China trade breakdown.  The markets had been anticipating a US/China commerce deal to be attained and optimism proved to be high — thus the rally in the stock market and the rally in america stock exchange.  What ?

(May be worth tens of thousands of dollars)

And that’s excactly what is happening right on queue. Actually, we shut out our SDS position on Thursday to get a fast 3.9% gain and our other new trade started Thursday is up 18% already.

Gold is showing indications of a possible price leg at the first stages as we’d been indicating.  Our April 21~24 momentum foundation call ago appears to be precise.  We are just awaiting the price swing to begin.  When it starts, the momentum behind the upside movement will increase since it will capture the attention of several gold dealers and solidify the”panic” aspect of the move.

Well, we believe news that will likely hit the markets over the subsequent 3 + months, as well as this news, will still continue to prompt the Shake-Out we’ve been warning about.  Depending on how severe these information events are, that the spinning in the markets might be rather severe.
By TheTechnicalTraders.com
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Our recent study suggests the US stock market may try to form a bottom near these lows and that lows in the US stock market may be support.  Our research indicates the Transportation Index is contributing this movement.  We consider both the RED, as well as the ORANGE Moving Average degree and GREY Fibonacci projection points, will act as a price floor this week and next.  The YM could move lower by 100 to 200 points now, before regaining close to the close of the day, retesting those levels.


Silver is still lagging behind Gold normal.  We continue to trust the actual opportunity for there is located a trade in Silver.  The potential for a $22 o ~$28 upside cost swing on a industry breakdown or fear play is quite solid.  Headed into the 2020 US election cycle and with the uncertainty in the worldwide markets, we believe that this is actually the”sleeper trade” of their next 16+ months.  Silver must accompany when Gold starts to breakout to the upside.

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These US trade tariffs puts pressure on China to come to the table and develop and fair deal.  This really isn’t the old method of slow negotiations with no actual consequences.  For China, the lack of access to the US market may be catastrophic in both the short and long term.  Skilled traders should not be optimistic throughout this weekend.  Guard your longs and prepare for news during the next few weeks.  Here is the kind of market that can make or break most dealers.
At this time I am likely to give away and shipping out rounds to anybody who purchases a subscription to my Wealth Trading Newsletter. I only have 11 left because They’re going fast so be sure to upgrade your membership into a longer-term subscription or combine one of Both of These plans, If You’re brand new, and you will receive:

Secondly, my birthday is just a few days off and I think its period I open the doorway to get a once a year chance for everybody to acquire a gift which could have some significant worth in the future.

(Could it be worth a whole lot later on )

Stock Market 101: From Bull and Bear Markets to Dividends, Shares, and Margins—Your Essential Guide to the Stock Market (Adams 101)


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So whether you’re looking to master the major principles of stock market investing or just want to learn more about how the market shifts over time, Stock Market 101 has all the answers–even the ones you didn’t know you were looking for.

Stock Market Investment: Exchanges, Stocks, and Options


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Stock Market Investment—Stocks and Options is a comprehensive introductory course on the stock market. It is intended to provide the reader with a structured learning tool and practical ready-reference resource that will appeal to lay people who want to become familiar with the complexities and risks of the market, seasoned professionals who want to brush up on the latest analytical tools, educators who need effective course material. The book introduces the reader to stock exchanges, stocks, and options in their variety of forms. Topics include long and short stock and option positions, and advanced combinations of options such as covered and protective calls and puts, straddles, strangles, spreads, butterflies, and condors. Each chapter features a succinct, introductory discussion of the topic, augmented with clear charts and examples. Chapters conclude with questions that probe the reader’s understanding of the course material and are followed by practical exercises that will hone the reader’s practical application.The reader is introduced to major U.S. stock market indices such as the Dow Jones Industrial Average, Nasdaq Composite, S&P 500, and major international indices, their roles, and the algorithms used to calculate price-weighted and value-weighted indices.The mechanism of stocks and options trading and their quotation systems are described and explained for securities and over-the-counter (OTC) trading systems. The role of market makers is explained. The reader will learn how bid and ask are formed for listed securities and the OTC market.Detailed mechanisms of trading stocks and options, order types and parameters, trading queues, and executions are explained, including long and short orders; market, limit, and stop orders; order triggers; timing and other order parameters; and active and passive execution queues. Margin requirements are described, and explained in detail. The book also presents an introduction to market analysis, including fundamental, technical, and sentimental types of analysis. Major stock and company valuation approaches are discussed as part of fundamental analysis. Market capitalization, enterprise value, and book value of a company are explained. The impact of general economic conditions on stock performances is explained. Company and stock performance parameters such as profit, operating margins, earnings per share, P/E ratio, PEG, and dividends are described and explained. Notions of assets, capital, equity, liability, debt, and major financial ratios are introduced and explained. Quarterly reporting of all publicly traded companies and GAAP system are discussed and explained.The technical analysis chapter discusses stock time series and historical charts, major technical parameters, and indicators such as trading volume; SMA and EMA; trend lines; support and resistance lines; stock price momentum; and oscillators, including RSI, MACD, OBV and others, price and return volatility, Bollinger Bands, correlations including asymmetric correlation analysis, historical, and adaptive patterns. The sentimental analysis chapter explores the investors’ perception of stocks, companies, industries, sectors, and economy as a whole. The reader is introduced to the concept of market efficiency and psychological aspects of investors’ behavior, including surprise and panic behavior. The neoclassical concept of the utility of money, as well as the principles of prospect theory, behavioral economics, and the theory of general value are presented and explained. These principles build the foundations of behavioral investment, a new approach to market analysis.The book provides an overview of the major laws and regulations that govern the U.S. stock market. The roles of the Security Exchange Committee (SEC) and Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) are described and explained.Instructors may request PowerPoint lectures for this course by sending an email to aityan@lincolnuca.edu.

Intra-day Fibonacci Modeling Shows Volatility Is About To Spike

Sourced from: https://www.countingpips.com/2019/04/intra-day-fibonacci-modeling-shows-volatility-is-about-to-spike/


Among the benefits of our Fibonacci cost modeling system is that it automatically learns and adjusts to price actions on various intervals.  By watching the learning model on several different intervals’ outcomes shows several types of setups and expectations, we could create a consensus one of the result to help individuals.  These models are revealing by expanding the Fibonacci Trigger Levels for Bullish and cost actions, that volatility increases.  The Fibonacci price modeling system that is proprietary adjusts computational actions to determine where and if the opportunity exists to form as price starts to combine.  When these Fibonacci Trigger levels move away from cost, it generally suggests moves are just going to occur and that volatility increases.

From TheTechnicalTraders.com

It is highly likely that the YM falls to close the 25,980 level (close to the ORANGE Moving Average degree ) before locating key support.  As it would be a great indicator of buying opportunities in the wider markets/stocks pay attention to this amount.
This 120 minute NQ graph highlights the enlarged range of those Fibonacci Trigger Degrees (known as the Volatility Zone).  Here is the example of that which we anticipate to turn into a normal price rotation zone for the NQ.  At this time our expectations will be that ranging between 7500 to 7660 will be expected.  This means we can see cost spinning closer to this 7500 degree and upward to close the 7660 level with no true tendency.  Eventually, as price consolidates and continues, these Fibonacci Trigger levels will adjust to better identify potential trends.  They are warning signals of increased volatility and the probability of price spinning .

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This YM chart highlights the volatility zone according to Fibonacci Projected Target levels’ selection.  Even though the YM graph doesn’t include the Fibonacci Trigger amounts, we consider this greater volatility suggested by the NQ chart will carry over into the YM and ES charts too.  We think the full US stock market will go into a period of greater volatility over the next 5~15 days.

We’ve highlighted a price range between 25,750 to 26,500 as an expected rotational variety.  It’s highly possible that the 25,980 level will serve as support, hence we believe a buying chance that is key will be presented by that any price movement below this amount . Overall, the volatility we anticipate must be a price rotation before the last rally to highs for the US stock market.  This rotation will introduce purchasing opportunities for expert traders wishing to grab this 4~12 percent upside swing from the US stock exchange.
Our research group, in Technical Traders Ltd. alerted us to some Fibonacci technical blueprint that’s setting up at the US stock market at this time.  This pattern indicates that volatility increases dramatically during the upcoming few days/weeks as intra-day price activity indicates sideways price action that is deeper might continue.
Chris Vermeulen